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Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 8.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).

The rate of three-point shots sunk against Pelle Larsson has been very high (37.3%) when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (93rd percentile).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.

Jaden McDaniels should see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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