Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.8 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels has converted 91.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's made in all games this season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.