Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Jaden McDaniels has played 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played overall this season.
As it relates to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 14.8 sunk threes per game on the road comes in as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Suns have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 10th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.9).
Jaden McDaniels has made 95.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's made overall this year while on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.