Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 67.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.9% more than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.
Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 68.3% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 25.5% more than he's converted in all games this year on his home court.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The matchup against Denver is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.1).
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game measures as the 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

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