Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 64.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing at home.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 58.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 5th-best in in the NBA at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
In terms of offense, the Timberwolves's subpar 108.1 points per game comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.

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