Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 48.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.7% more than he's converted from three overall this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on field goals (4th-best in the NBA) against the Wizards, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league away from home with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Jaden McDaniels will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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