Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of three-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 15.0 made threes per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a hard one; when the Spurs are on the road, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (8.6).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Spurs have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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