Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 52.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 88.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 16.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Jaden McDaniels will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are on the road (7th-least in the league).