Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 13, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Timberwolves's superb 15.8 drained threes per game playing at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, creating a favorable matchup.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Jaden McDaniels should see an increase in performance across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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