Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:25 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on the road.
In terms of three-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 15.1 converted threes per game settles in as the 7th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The 5th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels stands to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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