Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 41.6% rate of made threes while playing at home measures as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (41.1%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jaden McDaniels will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 66.7% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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