Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point shots.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Trail Blazers).
Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 100th percentile for free-throw ability while playing on the road with a phenomenal 100.0% rate this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Portland is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4).
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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