Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 8.4 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a hard matchup.
The 10th-most sluggish pace away team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this matchup.

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