Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 10:19 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 51.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Jaden McDaniels has made 44.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Minnesota Timberwolves's excellent 38.4% rate of converted threes comes in as the most in the league since the start of last season.
The Bulls have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (23.9%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year.
The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels ought to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.