Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has played 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.
As it relates to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 38.4% rate of converted threes measures as the best in the NBA since the start of last season.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 84.7% of his free throws away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Spurs have the home court advantage (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have posted the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (36.0%).
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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