Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2024

Updated May 29, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 60.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Jaden McDaniels has made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
As it relates to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 38.3% rate of drained threes comes in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).