Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 24, 2024

Updated May 24, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 63.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% higher than he's made in all games this season while at home.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
When it comes to threes, the Timberwolves's fantastic 38.3% rate of successful threes settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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