Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jaden McDaniels has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (10th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has converted 22.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 8.6% less than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.1).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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