Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 4, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.5 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA on their home court this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting team, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9).
The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Raptors).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has attempted and missed 5.8 field goal attempts per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's missed overall this season.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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