Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
As it relates to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 39.0% rate of made threes comes in as the strongest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have put up the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (45.0%).
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has failed to convert 6.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's missed overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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