Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (most in the league) against the Jazz, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).
Jaden McDaniels has made 94.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has attempted and missed 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's missed in all games this season away from his home court.
Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the league).