Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's played overall this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, making this a favorable matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 95.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Timberwolves's exceptional 25.6 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Jaden McDaniels will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.