Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 57.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.9 three attempts per game (28th-lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).