Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.1 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's sunk overall this year.
As a team, the Timberwolves have been terrific at drawing fouls recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 free throws per game.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has failed to make 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's missed in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a difficult one; when the Milwaukee Bucks have the home court advantage, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 25 games (13.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).