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Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

In terms of 3-point shots, the Timberwolves's fantastic 42.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Houston is a positive one for threes; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have secured 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (12th-least in the league).

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