Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 56.1% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.
The matchup against Washington is a positive one for field goals; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 27th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 21.5% more than he's made over the course of the year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (97th percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
Jaden McDaniels is expected to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.