Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 82nd percentile for scoring prowess with a a great 52.5% rate this year.
In terms of scoring, the Timberwolves's fantastic 117.4 points per game ranks 10th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Jaden McDaniels stands to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on three-pointers (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).