Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).
Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are playing at home (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has missed 6.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's missed in all games this year when playing on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on 3-pointers (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a difficult matchup.
The 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The Rockets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).