Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 66.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's converted overall this year while at home.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 64.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.0% more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Timberwolves's fantastic 48.7% field goal percentage rates 6th-highest in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the NBA).