Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 1.4 mark, Jaden McDaniels's 3-pointers hit have spiked this year to 1.8 per game.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged an impressive 27.8 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 30.3 minutes per game last season.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have registered 15.6 points per game (22nd-most in the league) against the Knicks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels has sunk a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 74.4 rate last year.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New York may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Knicks are the visiting team (6th-least in the league).