Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 38.0% of his three-point shots away from his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league away from home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 13.3 field goal attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.
The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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