Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 63.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this year while playing away from home.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 52.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 19.9% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (16.7).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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