Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 52.8% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 83.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (9.2).
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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