Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 52.8% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one for threes; the other team have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 10 games (28.8%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 83.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season on his home court.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (3.5).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).