Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has made 63.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 15.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 52.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 19.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Kings is a strong one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.

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