Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 63.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 15.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 52.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (23.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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