Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 52.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league when playing at home this year.
The Hornets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Hornets are the visiting team (12th-least in the league).

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