Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 47.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Jaden McDaniels has played a terrific 30.0 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 24.9 minutes per game last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Dorian Finney-Smith is a favorable one; he has allowed a monstrous 19.3 points per game on his home court when guarding opposing starting SFs since the start of last season (100th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance across the board.

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