Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.8% more than he's made in all games this year away from his home court.
Jaden McDaniels has made 41.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Jaden McDaniels has played a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 24.9 minutes per game last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (99th percentile).
The matchup vs. Dillon Brooks is a tough one for scoring; when Brooks is on his home court and defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have converted a lowly 4.6 shots made from the field per game (4th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers stat production across the board.