Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 43.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's made overall this year away from his home court.
Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 30.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a good one for field goals; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the other team have shot for the 8th-highest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (46.1%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (13.0).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are at home (2nd-least in the NBA).