Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 57.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has played 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season when playing away from home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year without the home court advantage.
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for scoring; opposing squads have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (48.0%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Nuggets.
Jaden McDaniels will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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