Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 48.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 88.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 11.2% more than he's converted overall this season.
Jaden McDaniels has played 30.2 minutes per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players over this stretch.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's most foul-prone over this stretch of games: 99th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one; they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs since the start of last season (13.5).
The matchup vs. Zion Williamson is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when defending fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game (85th percentile).
Jaden McDaniels will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production for all stats.

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