Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2022

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 7:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 41.7% of his treys last 5 games, 8.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Jaden McDaniels has converted 88.1% of his free throw attempts last 15 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.2 minutes per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players recently.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA when playing away from home this year.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's most foul-prone in recent days: 99th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Caleb Martin may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; when guarding opposing starting PFs, they have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game this year while playing at home (91st percentile).
Jaden McDaniels will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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