Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.5 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a favorable matchup.
The rate of three-point shots sunk against Pelle Larsson has been very high (37.3%) when guarding opposing starting SFs this year (93rd percentile).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels should see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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