Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
With respect to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.5% rate of made threes comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has converted 20.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 10.7% less than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have tallied the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.1).
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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