Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 39.7% rate of drained threes settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Detroit is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 16 games when the Pistons are playing at home (5.5).
The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has failed to make 3.2 3-point attempts per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this season while playing on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.