Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 58.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made over the course of the year while playing at home.
The matchup against the Lakers is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Jaden McDaniels will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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