Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-208/+160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 45.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
As it relates to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's excellent 42.2% rate of successful threes places 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5).
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has shot 38.5% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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