Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.4 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 30.1 rate, Jaden McDaniels's playing time has dropped this year to 24.4 minutes per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has averaged 40.1% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the league as the visting team with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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