Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 37.8% of his treys on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (50.6%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year when they are at home, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).
Jaden McDaniels will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.